IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Rylee Bartz Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-10-01 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Fargo North/South High USHS-W 26 19 17 36 1.385 0.4031 0.4031 — —
2020-21 Fargo North/South High USHS-W 20 38 15 53 2.650 0.7714 0.7714 — —
2021-22 Fargo North/South High USHS-W 26 67 21 88 3.385 0.9853 0.9510 — —
2022-23 Warroad High (W) USHS-MN-W 30 59 48 107 3.567 0.5728 0.5069 — —
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 St. Thomas D1 CHA-W JR 36 17 13 30 0.833
2024-25 St. Thomas D1 CHA-W SO 36 8 9 17 0.472
2023-24 St. Thomas D1 CHA-W FR 37 10 13 23 0.622
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.64
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.62
2023-24 · St. Thomas
-2.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

30%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
68%
Club / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#182
Forward overall
#2
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Jessie Aney
USHS-MN-W · 2012-13 · 3.17 PPG
→ UConn (0.27 D1 FR PPG)
0.51 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ivy Dynek
USHS-W · 2013-14 · 1.78 PPG
→ St. Cloud State
0.52 No data
NCAAe PPG
Kelly Pannek
USHS-MN-W · 2013-14 · 3.08 PPG
→ Minnesota (1.07 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Katie Detert
USHS-W · 2012-13 · 1.80 PPG
→ St. Cloud State
0.52 No data
NCAAe PPG
Dana Rasmussen
USHS-MN-W · 2013-14 · 2.96 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jessie Aney
UConn ·
0.267 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Ivy Dynek
St. Cloud State ·
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Kelly Pannek
Minnesota ·
1.073 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.