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Ashton Abel Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 1999-10-22 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
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Goals Against Average
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Base SV% —
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NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
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Goals Against Average
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Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  ■ Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2019-20 — AJHL 26 20 3 91.0% 2.16 3 0.9700 88.3%
2018-19 — AJHL 32 17 11 90.9% 2.88 2 0.9700 87.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2021-22 Boston University D1 2 — — — — —
2020-21 Boston University D1 2 0 1 88.4% 3.89 0
2019-20 Boston University D1 9 3 3 89.1% 3.15 1
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Aiden Wright USHL 90.6% 87.1% Vermont 89.2% 3.10
Louden Hogg USHL 89.4% 86.1% Holy Cross 87.3% 3.29
Jared Whale AJHL 89.2% 86.1% Alaska Anchorage 89.9% 4.14
Dawson Cowan WHL 90.5% 86.5% Nebraska Omaha 90.1% 3.21
Johnny Hicks WHL 90.9% 86.6% Denver 95.5% 1.25
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Nevin Tardif USPHL-Premier 90.4% 88.0% Worcester State D3 89.8% 3.54
Zach Dosan NA3HL 92.1% 87.8% Gustavus Adolphus D3 72.5% 6.60
Michael Paterson-Jones USPHL-Premier 92.0% 88.7% Wilkes D3 89.5% 3.08
Justin Damon USPHL-Premier 94.0% 91.5% Gustavus Adolphus D3 92.9% 2.27
Brody Haynes NCDC 92.5% 92.3% Elmira D3 94.8% 1.22

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.