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Carson Cherepak Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2002-10-09 Country: Canada
Signed Professionally
Lakehead Univ. · USports-M

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2025-26 Lakehead Univ. USports-M 14 10 4 92.8% 2.34 2 1.0100 93.3%
2024-25 Lakehead Univ. USports-M 13 6 7 90.8% 2.68 0 1.0100 95.0%
2021-22 MJHL 38 30 7 92.1% 2.21 6 0.9700 89.2%
2020-21 AJHL 12 5 5 91.0% 3.02 0 0.9700 88.3%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2023-24 RPI D1 9 1 6 87.7% 4.30 0
2022-23 RPI D1 6 0 4 89.6% 3.11 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Noah Giesbrecht USports-M 94.1% 96.9% Ferris State 90.8% 3.08
Tyler Palmer USports-M 91.5% 98.1% Bowling Green 89.9% 2.35
Matteo Drobac USports-M 90.4% 97.3% Miami 91.3% 2.69
Max Beckford NAHL 94.0% 88.0% Bentley 90.2% 1.84
Jack LaFontaine BCHL 92.3% 85.8% Minnesota 91.9% 2.55
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Brody Haynes NCDC 92.5% 92.3% Elmira D3 94.8% 1.22
Artur Dzhilavyan EHL 92.3% 87.4% Keene State D3 95.9% 1.48
Joey Lovullo NAHL 91.2% 87.6% Hamilton D3
Avery Sturtz NAHL 90.4% 86.7% Utica D3 84.2% 3.16
Marcus Ouellet NCDC 92.8% 88.1% St. John Fisher D3 87.9% 1.86

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.