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Kolby Thornton Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2001-06-28 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2021-22 AJHL 43 26 13 91.3% 3.15 0 0.9700 79.8%
2020-21 AJHL 2 0 2 88.3% 3.55 0 0.9700 85.7%
2019-20 BCHL 16 8 7 89.3% 3.13 0 0.9990 89.2%
2018-19 MJHL 33 4 17 90.3% 3.79 1 0.9700 97.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2022-23 Aurora D3 23 12 4 91.5% 3.36
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Max Hildebrand WHL 91.8% 79.7% Bemidji State 89.5% 2.71
Brandon Bussi USHL 91.5% 79.8% Western Michigan 91.0% 2.65
Ben Bonisteel OJHL 92.6% 79.9% Canisius 89.3% 3.10
Jack Williams USHL 90.8% 79.1% Notre Dame 88.9% 2.90
Jacob Steinman QMJHL 92.3% 79.8% Bowling Green 92.1% 2.14
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Nathan Loisel CCHL 88.3% 79.6% Southern New Hampshire D2 92.5% 2.61
Liam Gross USPHL-Premier 90.2% 80.0% Buffalo State D3 85.7% 5.75
Dylan Boughen USPHL-Premier 90.6% 79.8% Rivier D3 62.5% 14.86
Karl Zodda NA3HL 92.0% 79.9% Chatham D3 86.8% 4.66
Gabe Rosek NOJHL 91.3% 79.3% Concordia D3 90.2% 4.56

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.