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Jackson Fellner Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2003-03-25 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2022-23 SJHL 32 18 11 89.9% 2.98 2 0.9700 84.8%
2021-22 SJHL 27 6 17 88.3% 4.73 0 0.9700 89.3%
2021-22 AJHL 6 4 2 87.7% 3.42 0 0.9700 87.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2023-24 Alvernia D3 18 8 9 92.4% 2.68 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Francis Boisvert CCHL 92.0% 84.8% St. Lawrence 89.7% 3.50
Kolby Matthews BCHL 90.0% 85.4% RIT 93.3% 1.69
Marcus Brännman USHL 90.3% 83.4% Providence 75.0% 4.01
Melvin Strahl USHL 90.3% 83.0% Michigan 92.2% 2.27
Melvin Strahl USHL 90.3% 83.0% Michigan State 92.2% 2.27
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Carson Ironside AJHL 87.8% 84.2% Albertus Magnus D3 89.3% 2.76
Clément Labillois SJHL 88.9% 84.4% Assumption D2 93.6% 2.08
Ford DeLoss USPHL-Premier 92.0% 85.8% Stevenson D3 50.0% 3.85
Brandon Shantz NA3HL 89.7% 82.6% Plymouth State D3 92.1% 3.00
Chad Lowe USPHL-Premier 93.5% 86.9% SUNY Morrisville D3 90.2% 4.99

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.