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Carson Ironside Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2003-03-21 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2023-24 AJHL 13 7 3 91.1% 2.47 1 0.9700 78.3%
2022-23 AJHL 19 10 7 87.8% 3.87 2 0.9700 81.1%
2021-22 AJHL 33 19 9 91.8% 2.75 1 0.9700 91.0%
2020-21 AJHL 4 1 3 92.1% 2.78 0 0.9700 89.3%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2023-24 Albertus Magnus D3 4 2 1 89.3% 2.76
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Charles-Edward Gravel QMJHL 91.4% 77.9% Mercyhurst 90.7% 3.22
Aaron Matthews NCDC 90.7% 77.9% Providence
Ryan Manzella USHL 90.4% 76.7% Michigan Tech 89.5% 3.17
Cole Plowman MJHL 93.4% 80.7% Alaska Fairbanks 100.0%
Luke Lush AJHL 91.9% 77.5% Sacred Heart 91.5% 2.11
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Cameron Hrdlicka SJHL 89.6% 79.6% Concordia D3 89.0% 3.97
Anthony Bonaldi USPHL-Premier 90.6% 78.2% Nichols D3 81.8% 7.78
Paul Knapik USPHL-Premier 90.5% 77.5% Roger Williams D3
Nolan Hildebrand BCHL 89.3% 77.6% Babson D3 87.8% 3.82
Bodee Weiss BCHL 87.9% 76.6% Aurora D3 87.9% 2.93

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.