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Kyle Ozgun Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2005-02-27 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2024-25 NAHL 35 12 17 90.2% 3.25 2 0.9843 86.9%
2024-25 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 0.9980
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Skidmore D3 8 92.5% 2.30 1
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Bryant Marks NAHL 89.7% 87.0% Alaska Anchorage 94.1% 1.33
Hobie Hedquist BCHL 91.4% 86.4% North Dakota 90.5% 2.51
Kolby Matthews BCHL 90.0% 85.4% RIT 93.3% 1.69
Ryan Manzella NAHL 90.4% 87.7% Michigan Tech 90.6% 2.48
Joshua Kotai SJHL 93.5% 88.0% Augustana 90.4% 3.32
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Cal Wilcox NCDC 89.6% 86.7% Suffolk D3 89.1% 4.18
Ford DeLoss USPHL-Premier 92.0% 85.8% Stevenson D3 50.0% 3.85
Nick Anderson USPHL-Premier 92.6% 86.1% Nichols D3 87.4% 4.17
Chad Lowe USPHL-Premier 93.5% 86.9% SUNY Morrisville D3 90.2% 4.99
Jackson Fellner SJHL 89.9% 85.7% Alvernia D3 92.4% 2.68

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.