IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Mike O'Leary Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-01-01 Country: Canada
Signed Professionally
Ilves · Liiga

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 Dubuque Fighting Saints USHL 59 8 19 27 0.458 0.2699 0.2803 1.3744 1.4273
2023-24 Ilves Liiga 7 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2024-25 Ilves Liiga 18 1 3 4 0.222 0.5555 0.5477 1.9101 1.8834
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2019-20 Notre Dame D1 BigTen SR 37 9 14 23 0.622
2018-19 Notre Dame D1 BigTen JR 39 6 15 21 0.538
2017-18 Notre Dame D1 BigTen SO 38 3 6 9 0.237
2016-17 Notre Dame D1 BigTen FR 37 2 2 4 0.108
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.24
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.11
2016-17 · Notre Dame
-54.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

12%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
88%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#7533
Forward overall
#342
Forward born in 1998

D2/3 Comparables

Eric Melso
SUNY Morrisville · 2018-19
0.750 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Rick Cleaver
Norwich · 2003-04
1.235 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Jonathan Schultz
St. Norbert · 2001-02
1.125 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.