← New Search ↗ Social Card

Matthew Knies Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-10-17 Country: USA
2021 · Round 2, Pick #57  ·  Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 USHL 2 0 0 0 0.000
2019-20 USHL 44 14 31 45 1.023 0.6033 0.6033 3.0716 3.0716
2020-21 USHL 44 17 25 42 0.955 0.5631 0.5631 2.8667 2.8667
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Minnesota D1 BigTen 40 21 21 42 1.050
2021-22 Minnesota D1 BigTen 33 15 18 33 1.000
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.54
before college
Actual FR PPG
1.00
2021-22 · Minnesota
+85.5% vs. projection

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.