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Anthony Dowd Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-04-25 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 USHL 26 1 3 4 0.154 0.0945 0.0945 0.4531 0.4531
2021-22 Chicago Steel USHL 61 6 9 15 0.246 0.1512 0.1514 0.7245 0.7253
2022-23 Chicago Steel USHL 58 4 35 39 0.672 0.4133 0.3923 1.9810 1.8804
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Arizona State D1 NCHC SR 27 0 4 4 0.148
2024-25 Arizona State D1 NCHC JR 37 2 11 13 0.351
2023-24 Arizona State D1 NCHC SO 36 3 10 13 0.361
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.28
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.36
2023-24 · Arizona State
+29.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

78%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
15%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4139
Defenseman overall
#1045
Defenseman born in 2003
#2016
in USHL

D1 Comparables

OHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ Cornell (0.20 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Merrimack (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Average D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Average D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Harvard (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

UMass Dartmouth · 2022-23
1.125 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Norwich · 2009-10
1.258 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Oswego · 2000-01
1.226 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.