Assumption
Set Commitment
NCAA Division I Women's
Projected PPG — WCHA-W
0.30
Average (0.25–0.45)
Base NCAAe-W PPG0.3493
Conf. Strength0.997
Year Adj (FR)×0.80
Confidencehigh
Seasons Used2
NCAA D3W
Projected PPG — Division Avg
0.68
Strong (0.65–1.00)
Base D3e-W PPG0.7971
Conf. Strength1.000
Year Adj (FR)×0.80
Confidencehigh
Seasons Used2
D1W / D3W Likelihood
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG · ■ Solid = age-adjusted NCAAe-W PPG · ■ Green = actual college PPG
Pre-College Seasons
Most women's college players come directly from high school hockey. Junior or HS season stats below (when available on Elite Prospects).
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | Pts | PPG | NCAAe-W PPG | Age-Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-14 | Buffalo High | USHS-MN-W | 24 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 0.667 | 0.1007 | 0.1007 |
| 2014-15 | Buffalo High | USHS-MN-W | 25 | 11 | 11 | 22 | 0.880 | 0.1329 | 0.1329 |
| 2015-16 | Buffalo High | USHS-MN-W | 25 | 12 | 17 | 29 | 1.160 | 0.1752 | 0.1752 |
| 2016-17 | Buffalo High | USHS-MN-W | 25 | 15 | 17 | 32 | 1.280 | 0.1933 | 0.1933 |
NCAAe-W = points/game translated to NCAA-W equivalent · COVID-flagged seasons in yellow
College Seasons
| Season | School | Conference | Year | GP | G | A | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | St. Scholastica | NCHA | SR | 24 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 0.917 |
| 2020-21 | St. Scholastica | NCHA | JR | 16 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 1.188 |
| 2019-20 | St. Scholastica | NCHA | SO | 29 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 0.828 |
| 2018-19 | St. Scholastica | NCHA | FR | 27 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 1.185 |
Historical Comparables — NCAA D1W
| Player | League · Season · PPG | FR College PPG | School |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Guagliardo | USHS-W · 2013-14 · 2.27 PPG | 0.156 | Mercyhurst |
| Joie Phelps | USHS-MN-W · 2013-14 · 1.26 PPG | 0.182 | Cornell |
| Sydney Brodt | USHS-MN-W · 2012-13 · 1.32 PPG | 0.600 | Minnesota Duluth |
| Jackie Pieper | USHS-MN-W · 2013-14 · 1.32 PPG | 0.324 | Merrimack |
| Kiki Radke | USHS-MN-W · 2013-14 · 1.24 PPG | 0.273 | Bemidji State |
Historical Comparables — NCAA D3W
| Player | Junior Season · PPG | FR College PPG | School | Conference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Engbrecht | 2023-24 · 1.27 PPG | 0.370 | Wisconsin-Stevens Point | WIAC |
| Kylie Scott | 2022-23 · 1.04 PPG | 0.440 | Gustavus Adolphus | MIAC |
| Abby Reule | 2018-19 · 1.04 PPG | 0.450 | Concordia | MIAC |
| Lindsey Hays | 2016-17 · 1.12 PPG | 0.417 | St. Catherine | MIAC |
| Emily Lemker | 2018-19 · 1.12 PPG | 0.417 | Saint Benedict | MIAC |
Women's college hockey projections draw primarily on high school and junior stats when available. Because most women go directly from HS to college, projections with limited pre-college data use conference-based priors.
NCAAe-W factors are derived from historical pre-college→NCAA-W transitions. For many players, projection confidence is lower than men's due to sparse pre-college tracking.