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Mariah Gardner Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-03-15 Country: Canada

NCAA-W Projection

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NCAA Division I Women's

Projected PPG — WCHA-W

0.24

Developing (<0.25)

Base NCAAe-W PPG0.2826

Conf. Strength0.997

Year Adj (FR)×0.80

Confidencehigh

Seasons Used2

NCAA D3W

Projected PPG — Division Avg

0.57

Average (0.35–0.65)

Base D3e-W PPG0.6605

Conf. Strength1.000

Year Adj (FR)×0.80

Confidencehigh

Seasons Used2

D1W / D3W Likelihood

Career Trajectory

Dashed = raw PPG · ■ Solid = age-adjusted NCAAe-W PPG · ■ Green = actual college PPG

Pre-College Seasons

Most women's college players come directly from high school hockey. Junior or HS season stats below (when available on Elite Prospects).

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG	NCAAe-W PPG	Age-Adjusted
2012-13	Warroad High (W)	USHS-MN-W	25	12	23	35	1.400	0.2114	0.2114
2013-14	Warroad High (W)	USHS-MN-W	27	23	24	47	1.741	0.2628	0.2628
2014-15	Warroad High (W)	USHS-MN-W	25	18	36	54	2.160	0.3262	0.3262
2015-16	Warroad High (W)	USHS-MN-W	25	34	48	82	3.280	0.4953	0.4953
2016-17	Warroad High (W)	USHS-MN-W	23	34	32	66	2.870	0.4333	0.4333

NCAAe-W = points/game translated to NCAA-W equivalent · COVID-flagged seasons in yellow

College Seasons

Season	School	Conference	Year	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG
2020-21	Minnesota State	WCHA-W	SR	16	0	2	2	0.125
2019-20	Minnesota State	WCHA-W	JR	37	6	10	16	0.432
2018-19	Minnesota State	WCHA-W	SO	29	2	1	3	0.103
2017-18	Minnesota State	WCHA-W	FR	14	0	1	1	0.071

Historical Comparables — NCAA D1W

Player	League · Season · PPG	FR College PPG	School
Haley Mack	USHS-MN-W · 2013-14 · 2.88 PPG	0.371	Bemidji State
Reagan Haley	USHS-MN-W · 2012-13 · 2.92 PPG	0.108	Minnesota Duluth
Lauren Abbenante	NE-Prep-Girls · 2012-13 · 1.30 PPG	0.607	Holy Cross
Dana Rasmussen	USHS-MN-W · 2013-14 · 2.96 PPG	0.167	Ohio State
Phoebe Staenz	NE-Prep-Girls · 2012-13 · 1.38 PPG	0.680	Yale

Historical Comparables — NCAA D3W

Player	Junior Season · PPG	FR College PPG	School	Conference
Alyssa Heim	2016-17 · 2.62 PPG	—	Wisconsin-Eau Claire	WIAC
Aimee Briand	2013-14 · 1.29 PPG	0.810	Castleton	NEHC
Kora Torkelson	2014-15 · 1.62 PPG	0.643	Wisconsin-River Falls	WIAC
Molly Terebayza	2021-22 · 1.44 PPG	0.731	St. Olaf	MIAC
Dani Sibley	2010-11 · 1.44 PPG	0.733	Wisconsin-River Falls	WIAC

Women's college hockey projections draw primarily on high school and junior stats when available. Because most women go directly from HS to college, projections with limited pre-college data use conference-based priors.

NCAAe-W factors are derived from historical pre-college→NCAA-W transitions. For many players, projection confidence is lower than men's due to sparse pre-college tracking.