Mary Derrenbacher Elite Prospects ↗
Position:
Forward
DOB: 2008-09-20
Country: USA
Height: 5'3" (160 cm)
NCAA-W Projection
Wisconsin
Set Commitment
NCAA Division I Women's
Projected PPG — WCHA-W
0.49
Strong (0.45–0.70)
Base NCAAe-W PPG0.5240
Conf. Strength0.997
Year Adj (FR)×0.87
Confidencehigh
Seasons Used2
NCAA D3W
Projected PPG — Division Avg
1.18
Elite (1.00+)
Base D3e-W PPG1.3794
Conf. Strength1.000
Year Adj (FR)×0.80
Confidencehigh
Seasons Used2
D1W / D3W Likelihood
50%
NCAA D1W
2%
NCAA D3W
48%
Club / Other
Based on 40 comparable players
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG · ■ Solid = age-adjusted NCAAe-W PPG · ■ Green = actual college PPG
Pre-College Seasons
Most women's college players come directly from high school hockey. Junior or HS season stats below (when available on Elite Prospects).
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | Pts | PPG | NCAAe-W PPG | Age-Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | — | 16U-AAA-W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.500 | 0.1786 | 0.1786 |
| 2023-24 | — | 16U-AAA-W | 36 | 24 | 22 | 46 | 1.278 | 0.4564 | 0.4564 |
| 2024-25 | — | 19U-AAA-W | 11 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 1.182 | 0.4851 | 0.4851 |
| 2025-26 | — | 19U-AAA-W | 53 | 36 | 35 | 71 | 1.340 | 0.5499 | 0.5499 |
NCAAe-W = points/game translated to NCAA-W equivalent · COVID-flagged seasons in yellow
Historical Comparables — NCAA D1W
| Player | League · Season · PPG | FR College PPG | School |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saana Valkama | SMLIIGA-W · 2012-13 · 1.43 PPG | 0.314 | Vermont |
| Kelly Pannek | USHS-MN-W · 2012-13 · 3.45 PPG | 1.073 | Minnesota |
| Nicole Schammel | USHS-MN-W · 2013-14 · 3.44 PPG | 0.611 | Minnesota State |
| Emma Nuutinen | SMLIIGA-W · 2012-13 · 1.25 PPG | 0.559 | North Dakota |
| Jessie Aney | USHS-MN-W · 2012-13 · 3.17 PPG | 0.267 | UConn |
Historical Comparables — NCAA D3W
| Player | Junior Season · PPG | FR College PPG | School | Conference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celia Midtbo | 2022-23 · 1.73 PPG | 0.840 | Saint Mary's (MN) | MIAC |
| Mikaila Rubin | 2016-17 · 2.21 PPG | 0.654 | Nazareth | UCHC |
| Amber Tilander | 2015-16 · 2.21 PPG | 0.655 | St. Scholastica | NCHA |
| Madi Nolan | 2016-17 · 1.75 PPG | 0.826 | Wisconsin-River Falls | WIAC |
| Brianna Breiland | 2010-11 · 2.28 PPG | 0.633 | Wisconsin-River Falls | WIAC |
Women's college hockey projections draw primarily on high school and junior stats when available. Because most women go directly from HS to college, projections with limited pre-college data use conference-based priors.
NCAAe-W factors are derived from historical pre-college→NCAA-W transitions. For many players, projection confidence is lower than men's due to sparse pre-college tracking.