IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Caroline Lilley Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-10-16 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Cushing Academy USHS-W 34 4 10 14 0.412 0.1238 0.1238 — —
2021-22 Cushing NE-Prep-Girls 27 7 6 13 0.480 0.2978 0.2978 — —
2022-23 Cushing NE-Prep-Girls 32 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Assumption D1 NEWHA JR 38 16 9 25 0.658
2024-25 Assumption D1 NEWHA SO 32 4 5 9 0.281
2023-24 Assumption D1 NEWHA FR 36 1 1 2 0.056
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.25
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.06
2023-24 · Assumption
-78.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
75%
Club / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#8385
Forward overall
#400
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Molly Strabley
NE-Prep-Girls · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ Princeton (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Lindsay Roethke
USHS-MN-W · 2012-13 · 1.96 PPG
→ UConn (0.03 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emily Bergland
USHS-MN-W · 2013-14 · 2.04 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Catherine Skaja
USHS-MN-W · 2012-13 · 2.08 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.34 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Rebekah Kolstad
USHS-MN-W · 2012-13 · 2.09 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Molly Strabley
Princeton ·
0.103 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Lindsay Roethke
UConn ·
0.027 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Emily Bergland
Bemidji State ·
0.114 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.