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Paul Carey Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1988-09-24 Country: USA
2007 · Round 5, Pick #135  ·  Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
Signed Professionally
Djurgårdens IF · SHL

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2007-08 Indiana Ice USHL 60 34 32 66 1.100 0.6489 0.6336 3.3037 3.2260
2021-22 Djurgårdens IF SHL 41 4 8 12 0.293 0.7318 0.4922 3.8193 2.5689
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2011-12 Boston College D1 HockeyEast — 44 18 12 30 0.682
2010-11 Boston College D1 HockeyEast — 38 13 13 26 0.684
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.59
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.68
2010-11 · Boston College
+16.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

0%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
100%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2964
Forward overall
#130
Forward born in 1988

D2/3 Comparables

Rihards Marenis
Aurora · 2013-14
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Zach Dill
Salem State · 2021-22
1.111 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Sascha Figi
Fitchburg State · 2016-17
1.429 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.