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Graham Sward Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-09-12 Country: Canada
2022 NHL Draft Round 5, Pick #146  ·  Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Spokane Chiefs WHL 1 1 0 1 1.000 0.4865 0.5680 2.4503 2.8609
2019-20 Spokane Chiefs WHL 55 2 15 17 0.309 0.1504 0.1504 0.7574 0.7574
2020-21 Spokane Chiefs WHL 11 1 0 1 0.091 0.0442 0.0442 0.2227 0.2227
2021-22 Spokane Chiefs WHL 57 10 33 43 0.754 0.3670 0.3716 1.8485 1.8715
2022-23 — WHL 60 4 33 37 0.617 0.3000 0.2897 1.5111 1.4594
2023-24 Wenatchee Wild WHL 66 15 66 81 1.227 0.5971 0.5473 3.0073 2.7562
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Quinnipiac D1 ECAC FR 40 5 11 16 0.400
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.42
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.40
2025-26 · Quinnipiac
-4.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

12%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
68%
Age-Out / Club
20%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#1418
Defenseman overall
#246
Defenseman born in 2003
#286
in WHL

D1 Comparables

Paul LaDue
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Joona Juntunen
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2023-24
0.826 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Conor Landrigan
Utica · 2016-17
1.038 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2004-05
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.