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Carter Esler Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2008-11-28 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
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Goals Against Average
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Base SV% —
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NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
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Goals Against Average
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Base SV% —
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Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  ■ Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2026-27 Spokane Chiefs WHL 4 4 0 93.5% 1.47 0 1.0047 93.9%
2025-26 Spokane Chiefs WHL 44 24 18 90.3% 2.80 5 1.0047 95.9%
2024-25 Spokane Chiefs WHL 18 10 6 89.4% 3.23 0 1.0047 97.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Jacob Fowler USHL 92.1% 93.9% Boston College 92.6% 2.14
Michael Hrabal USHL 90.8% 93.1% UMass 91.2% 2.59
Isaiah Saville USHL 92.5% 93.9% Nebraska Omaha 90.7% 2.85
Jan Korec USHL 90.1% 91.4% Boston College 91.8% 1.75
Trey Augustine USHL 92.8% 95.5% Michigan State 91.5% 2.96
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Brody Haynes NCDC 92.5% 92.3% Elmira D3 94.8% 1.22
Cooper Rautenstrauch NAHL 88.9% 92.2% Colby D3 93.4% 2.08
Cooper Rautenstrauch NCDC 90.6% 92.2% Colby D3 93.4% 2.08
Vaughn Makar NAHL 90.9% 94.0% St. Norbert D3 93.2% 1.73
Brayden Ingram EHL 91.2% 92.3% Assumption D2 91.4% 2.71

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.