← New Search ↗ Social Card

Royden Smith Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2009-02-06 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2025-26 Wellington Dukes OJHL 25 9 12 89.6% 3.79 2 0.9700 93.2%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Tyler Muszelik USHL 90.0% 93.9% New Hampshire 88.3% 3.24
Jack Ivankovic OHL 90.3% 93.8% Michigan 92.1% 2.15
Spencer Knight USHL 90.3% 93.5% Boston College 93.1% 1.97
Mikhail Yegorov USHL 89.2% 91.9% Boston University 92.7% 2.15
Michael Hrabal USHL 90.8% 93.1% UMass 91.2% 2.59
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Brody Haynes NCDC 92.5% 92.3% Elmira D3 94.8% 1.22
Cooper Rautenstrauch NAHL 88.9% 92.2% Colby D3 93.4% 2.08
Cooper Rautenstrauch NCDC 90.6% 92.2% Colby D3 93.4% 2.08
Vaughn Makar NAHL 90.9% 94.0% St. Norbert D3 93.2% 1.73
Brayden Ingram EHL 91.2% 92.3% Assumption D2 91.4% 2.71

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.