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Spencer Knight Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2001-04-19 Country: USA
2019 NHL Draft Round 1, Pick #13  ·  Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2018-19 NTDP-U18 39 32 4 91.3% 2.36 2 0.9200 80.8%
2018-19 USHL 16 15 1 90.3% 2.21 1 0.9980 96.6%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2020-21 Boston College D1 21 16 4 93.2% 2.18 3
2019-20 Boston College D1 33 23 8 93.1% 1.97 5
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Trey Augustine NTDP-U18 92.6% 81.1% Michigan State 91.5% 2.96
Trey Augustine NTDP-U18 92.6% 81.1% Michigan 91.5% 2.96
Tyler Muszelik NTDP-U18 90.0% 81.2% New Hampshire 88.3% 3.24
Nicholas Kempf NTDP-U18 89.7% 78.5% Notre Dame 89.5% 3.74
Nicholas Kempf USHL 87.0% 91.9% Notre Dame 89.5% 3.74
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Brody Haynes NCDC 92.5% 92.3% Elmira D3 94.8% 1.22
Nevin Tardif USPHL-Premier 90.4% 88.0% Worcester State D3 89.8% 3.54
Cooper Rautenstrauch NCDC 90.6% 93.8% Colby D3 93.4% 2.08
Cooper Rautenstrauch NAHL 88.9% 94.0% Colby D3 93.4% 2.08
Zach Dosan NA3HL 92.1% 87.8% Gustavus Adolphus D3 72.5% 6.60

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.