IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Arsenii Sergeev Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2002-12-16 Country: Russia
2021 NHL Draft Round 7, Pick #205  ·  Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
—
Goals Against Average
—
Base SV% —
Year Adj —
Source —
Confidence —

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
—
Goals Against Average
—
Base SV% —
Year Adj —
Source —
Confidence —
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  ■ Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2021-22 — USHL 41 30 6 91.8% 2.08 6 0.9980 89.5%
2020-21 — NAHL 20 14 4 93.6% 2.17 2 0.9843 92.1%
2019-20 — NCDC 4 1 2 92.6% 3.46 0 0.9400 87.0%
2019-20 — NAHL 15 10 4 89.2% 3.56 0 0.9843 87.8%
2019-20 — USHL 2 0 2 81.1% 7.27 0 0.9980 80.9%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2024-25 Penn State D1 33 19 9 91.9% 2.54 4
2023-24 UConn D1 16 8 8 91.3% 2.70 1
2022-23 UConn D1 19 11 6 91.2% 2.61 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Emmett Croteau USHL 91.7% 89.0% Clarkson 83.5% 3.53
Alexis Cournoyer QMJHL 94.2% 91.6% Cornell 91.5% 2.05
Blake Pietila USHL 91.2% 89.7% Michigan Tech 86.8% 3.24
John Parsons USHL 90.3% 88.2% Providence 92.2% 2.05
Carson Cherepak MJHL 92.1% 89.2% RPI 89.6% 3.11
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Brody Haynes NCDC 92.5% 92.3% Elmira D3 94.8% 1.22
Nevin Tardif USPHL-Premier 90.4% 88.0% Worcester State D3 89.8% 3.54
Justin Damon USPHL-Premier 94.0% 91.5% Gustavus Adolphus D3 92.9% 2.27
Connor Carbo EHL 89.3% 90.3% Wentworth D3 92.3% 3.00
Michael Paterson-Jones USPHL-Premier 92.0% 88.7% Wilkes D3 89.5% 3.08

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.