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Carsen Stokes Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2002-02-13 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2022-23 NAHL 35 17 13 90.8% 2.80 2 0.9843 81.0%
2021-22 NAHL 14 9 2 90.4% 2.62 1 0.9843 86.8%
2020-21 NA3HL 8 2 2 90.7% 2.55 0 0.9400 85.3%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Augsburg D3 10 89.0% 3.45 0
2024-25 Augsburg D3 23 8 14 90.5% 3.28 2
2023-24 Northern Michigan D1
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Cullen DeYoung NAHL 91.0% 81.0% Sacred Heart 94.3% 1.73
Teagan Kendrick BCHL 91.5% 80.5% Sacred Heart 92.0% 2.42
Thomas Heaney NAHL 90.0% 80.4% UConn 86.7% 4.39
Ethan Robertson NAHL 91.5% 81.8% Canisius 90.4% 3.25
Kayden Hargraves NAHL 91.5% 81.8% Augustana 92.0% 2.72
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Nick Howard USPHL-Premier 94.7% 81.0% Saint Anselm D2 90.6% 2.70
Kyle Kozma NAHL 89.0% 81.5% Trine D3 91.5% 2.17
Alexei Masanko OJHL 92.5% 81.6% Manhattanville D3 91.3% 3.27
Sami Molu CCHL 92.5% 81.5% Norwich D3 94.3% 1.62
Tripp Clarke USPHL-Premier 93.7% 80.6% Manhattanville D3 75.0% 4.09

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.