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Aaron Matthews Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2004-03-06 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2024-25 NCDC 17 3 12 90.7% 3.28 0 0.9400 77.9%
2023-24 EHL 16 12 3 91.5% 2.18 2 0.9400 86.4%
2023-24 NCDC 5 0 2 89.6% 3.59 0 0.9400 82.2%
2022-23 NCDC 4 0 2 81.5% 5.91 0 0.9400 80.9%
2022-23 CCHL 4 1 2 83.8% 4.17 0 0.9700 83.2%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Providence D1 1 0 0 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Charles-Edward Gravel QMJHL 91.4% 77.9% Mercyhurst 90.7% 3.22
Luke Lush AJHL 91.9% 77.5% Sacred Heart 91.5% 2.11
Ryan Snowden USHL 89.8% 76.4% Ohio State 90.5% 2.52
Ryan Manzella USHL 90.4% 76.7% Michigan Tech 89.5% 3.17
Bruno Bruveris USHL 89.7% 76.1% Miami 86.6% 4.15
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Paul Knapik USPHL-Premier 90.5% 77.5% Roger Williams D3
Anthony Bonaldi USPHL-Premier 90.6% 78.2% Nichols D3 81.8% 7.78
Jeffrey Dreger MJHL 86.4% 77.7% SUNY Morrisville D3 84.5% 4.37
Colby Entz SJHL 89.8% 79.2% St. Norbert D3 93.0% 1.88
Logan Gorbitz USPHL-Premier 91.8% 79.4% Neumann D3 84.4% 5.24

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.