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Lucas Massie Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2003-04-11 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2023-24 Lincoln Stars USHL 27 7 12 87.9% 3.76 0 0.9980 75.1%
2022-23 USHL 23 12 6 89.8% 2.89 0 0.9980 83.0%
2021-22 AJHL 36 15 17 89.1% 3.38 0 0.9700 88.6%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Robert Morris D1 11 5 3 91.5% 2.87 2
2024-25 Union D1 2 1 1 80.5% 5.73 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Andrew Oke OHL 87.6% 74.6% Lake Superior State 87.9% 3.95
Gavin Moffatt USHL 89.3% 76.3% Western Michigan
Bruno Bruveris USHL 89.7% 76.1% Miami 86.6% 4.15
Mason Kucenski USHL 84.9% 72.5% St. Lawrence 82.6% 8.00
Ryan Manzella USHL 90.4% 76.7% Michigan Tech 89.5% 3.17
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Bodee Weiss BCHL 87.9% 76.6% Aurora D3 87.9% 2.93
Nolan Hildebrand AJHL 87.4% 77.5% Babson D3 87.8% 3.82
Nolan Hildebrand BCHL 89.3% 77.6% Babson D3 87.8% 3.82
Hayden Williamson OJHL 85.8% 76.4% Arcadia D3 92.0% 3.36
Dolan Gilbert NA3HL 91.0% 78.2% Concordia D3 81.0% 9.00

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.