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Ryan Keyes Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2003-04-25 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2023-24 NCDC 41 31 7 92.6% 2.06 2 0.9400 79.7%
2022-23 NCDC 19 10 6 91.4% 3.08 2 0.9400 85.5%
2022-23 NAHL 1 0 1 91.2% 3.00 0 0.9843 88.9%
2021-22 NCDC 12 3 5 84.4% 4.88 0 0.9400 83.6%
2021-22 NAHL 1 0 1 71.4% 12.00 0 0.9843 74.4%
2020-21 NAHL 18 7 7 87.7% 3.60 0 0.9843 86.3%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Merrimack D1
2024-25 Merrimack D1 5 1 1 92.0% 2.22 1
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Austin Elliott OHL 92.4% 79.6% UMass Lowell 88.5% 3.01
Jacob Steinman QMJHL 92.3% 79.8% Bowling Green 92.1% 2.14
Austin Roden BCHL 91.2% 81.1% Nebraska Omaha 90.7% 2.87
Joshua Seeley NAHL 90.0% 81.6% Bentley 82.6% 8.58
Cole Plowman MJHL 93.4% 80.7% Alaska Fairbanks 100.0%
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Nicholas Von Kaufmann OJHL 88.9% 79.9% Marian D3 88.6% 3.25
Dean Hahn USPHL-Premier 91.6% 80.0% Salem State D3 88.9% 3.95
Logan Palmer USPHL-Premier 92.1% 80.5% Western New England D3 90.9% 3.11
Jacob Gorinsky OJHL 89.9% 80.7% Norwich D3 83.3% 5.00
Dolan Gilbert NA3HL 91.0% 78.2% Concordia D3 81.0% 9.00

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.