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Alexander Tracy Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2001-05-04 Country: USA
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2021-22 USHL 44 27 10 89.6% 2.50 3 0.9983 83.0%
2020-21 USHL 18 9 7 88.9% 2.66 1 0.9983 88.8%
2019-20 NAHL 24 17 4 93.5% 2.12 4 0.9843 92.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Minnesota D1 39 21 11 92.7% 1.80 5
2024-25 Minnesota D1 38 26 9 94.6% 1.42 5
2023-24 Minnesota D1 28 13 10 91.0% 2.50 2
2022-23 Minnesota D1 10 6 3 87.9% 2.24 1
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Ryan Keyes NCDC 92.6% 83.2% Merrimack 92.0% 2.22
Gavin Moffatt USHL 89.3% 82.4% Western Michigan
Aaron Randazzo USHL 88.8% 82.5% Air Force 82.4% 5.23
Joshua Seeley NAHL 90.0% 84.9% Bentley 82.6% 8.58
Chad Veltri USHL 90.2% 83.9% Niagara 93.1% 2.10
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Nolan Hildebrand AJHL 87.4% 82.5% Babson D3 87.8% 3.82
Josh Koziol NA3HL 93.3% 83.8% Augsburg D3 71.4% 5.76
Jeffrey Reda USPHL-Premier 90.6% 83.7% Franklin Pierce D2 85.9% 5.85
Owen Swanbon USPHL-Premier 90.4% 83.4% Framingham State D3 83.3% 8.53
Dean Hahn USPHL-Premier 91.6% 84.1% Salem State D3 88.9% 3.95

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.