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Kolby Hay Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2004-05-14 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2024-25 Edmonton Oil Kings WHL 1 0 1 92.0% 2.01 0 1.0047 79.1%
2023-24 Edmonton Oil Kings WHL 48 22 18 88.9% 3.75 1 1.0047 83.1%
2022-23 WHL 50 6 36 87.3% 4.89 1 1.0047 87.6%
2021-22 WHL 25 16 4 88.5% 3.11 0 1.0047 94.6%
2020-21 WHL 1.0047
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Augustana D1 1 0 0 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Austin Elliott OHL 92.4% 79.6% UMass Lowell 88.5% 3.01
Jacob Steinman QMJHL 92.3% 79.8% Bowling Green 92.1% 2.14
Yan Shostak USHL 91.1% 78.6% St. Cloud State 89.7% 3.08
Ryan Keyes NCDC 92.6% 79.7% Merrimack 92.0% 2.22
Chad Veltri USHL 90.2% 78.3% Niagara 93.1% 2.10
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Owen Swanbon USPHL-Premier 90.4% 79.8% Framingham State D3 83.3% 8.53
Jeffrey Reda USPHL-Premier 90.6% 80.1% Franklin Pierce D2 85.9% 5.85
Nicholas Von Kaufmann OJHL 88.9% 79.9% Marian D3 88.6% 3.25
Dolan Gilbert NA3HL 91.0% 78.2% Concordia D3 81.0% 9.00
Gabe Rosek NOJHL 91.3% 79.3% Concordia D3 90.2% 4.56

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.