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Kolby Hay Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2004-05-14 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2024-25 Edmonton Oil Kings WHL 1 0 1 92.0% 2.01 0 1.0047 85.4%
2023-24 Edmonton Oil Kings WHL 48 22 18 88.9% 3.75 1 1.0047 86.0%
2022-23 WHL 50 6 36 87.3% 4.89 1 1.0047 87.7%
2021-22 WHL 25 16 4 88.5% 3.11 0 1.0047 91.9%
2020-21 WHL 1.0047
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Augustana D1 1 0 0 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Austin Elliott OHL 92.4% 85.7% UMass Lowell 88.5% 3.01
Jacob Steinman QMJHL 92.3% 85.4% Bowling Green 92.1% 2.14
Joshua Seeley NAHL 90.0% 84.9% Bentley 82.6% 8.58
Justen Close SJHL 92.8% 86.0% Minnesota 78.6% 6.09
Austin Roden BCHL 91.2% 85.8% Nebraska Omaha 90.7% 2.87
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Jadon Lee USPHL-Premier 93.3% 86.0% Lebanon Valley D3 93.0% 2.59
Nicholas Von Kaufmann OJHL 88.9% 85.5% Marian D3 88.6% 3.25
Will Augustine USPHL-Premier 94.0% 86.5% Rivier D3 91.5% 2.97
Tucker Hanson EHL 89.0% 85.7% Saint Anselm D2 100.0%
Colby Muise AJHL 91.6% 86.8% Marian D3 93.2% 1.77

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.