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Michael Paterson-Jones Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 1999-09-13 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
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Goals Against Average
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Base SV% —
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NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
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Goals Against Average
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Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  ■ Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2018-19 — USPHL-Premier 8 7 1 92.0% 2.22 1 0.9400 86.1%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2023-24 Wilkes D3 10 6 4 93.3% 2.25 2
2022-23 Wilkes D3 12 6 4 90.2% 2.98 —
2021-22 Wilkes D3 16 11 3 88.8% 2.99 —
2020-21 Wilkes D3 11 7 4 90.1% 2.90 0
2019-20 Wilkes D3 23 16 6 89.5% 3.08 2
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Johnny Hicks WHL 90.9% 86.6% Denver 95.5% 1.25
Kevin Reidler USHL 90.2% 85.9% Nebraska Omaha 92.0% 2.74
Dawson Cowan WHL 90.5% 86.5% Nebraska Omaha 90.1% 3.21
Freddie Halyk AJHL 91.0% 86.7% Denver 88.3% 2.91
Louden Hogg USHL 89.4% 86.1% Holy Cross 87.3% 3.29
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Zach Dosan NA3HL 92.1% 87.8% Gustavus Adolphus D3 72.5% 6.60
Connor Carbo EHL 89.3% 90.3% Wentworth D3 92.3% 3.00
Nevin Tardif USPHL-Premier 90.4% 88.0% Worcester State D3 89.8% 3.54
Tyler Fromolz NA3HL 92.0% 87.1% Marian D3 88.3% 3.85
Ryan Kenny USPHL-Premier 93.5% 89.3% Stevenson D3 89.6% 2.95

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.