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Ryan Nolan Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2005-08-17 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2024-25 NAHL 35 15 13 88.9% 3.92 0 0.9843 88.5%
2023-24 NAHL 2 0 2 94.8% 3.04 0 0.9843 97.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 St. Olaf D3 14 93.5% 2.31 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Roan Clarke BCHL 90.8% 89.2% Dartmouth 86.0% 3.93
Grant Riley BCHL 90.7% 89.0% Northeastern 82.4% 3.06
Freddie Halyk AJHL 91.0% 86.7% Denver 88.3% 2.91
Aksel Reid NAHL 91.1% 90.5% Union 80.0% 2.77
Connor McDonough NAHL 90.9% 90.6% Ferris State 25.0% 26.21
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Michael Paterson-Jones USPHL-Premier 92.0% 88.7% Wilkes D3 89.5% 3.08
Ryan Kenny USPHL-Premier 93.5% 89.3% Stevenson D3 89.6% 2.95
Zach Dosan NA3HL 92.1% 87.8% Gustavus Adolphus D3 72.5% 6.60
Marko Belak MJHL 90.3% 91.2% Gustavus Adolphus D3 87.8% 3.08
Connor Carbo EHL 89.3% 90.3% Wentworth D3 92.3% 3.00

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.