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Jared Moe Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 1999-07-22 Country: USA
2018 · Round 6, Pick #184  ·  Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2018-19 USHL 31 14 8 90.7% 2.79 3 0.9983 88.1%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2022-23 Wisconsin D1 30 10 17 89.8% 3.31 4
2021-22 Wisconsin D1 31 8 16 91.7% 2.97 1
2020-21 Minnesota D1 3 2 0 85.2% 3.45 0
2019-20 Minnesota D1 16 7 5 91.5% 2.46 1
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Evan Fear USHL 90.8% 88.1% Quinnipiac 77.4% 6.56
Ryan Bischel USHL 90.5% 87.8% Notre Dame 91.5% 2.52
Jacob Biron CCHL 90.9% 87.1% Army 92.3% 1.68
Calvin Vachon USHL 89.6% 86.8% Alaska Fairbanks 89.7% 3.11
Nathan Krawchuk OHL 90.1% 87.3% RPI 90.9% 2.82
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Ryan Kenny USPHL-Premier 93.5% 89.9% Stevenson D3 89.6% 2.95
Jarret Bovarnick EHL 88.3% 87.5% Suffolk D3 87.2% 4.52
Tyler Fromolz NA3HL 92.0% 86.3% Marian D3 88.3% 3.85
Michael Paterson-Jones USPHL-Premier 92.0% 88.9% Wilkes D3 89.5% 3.08
Ryan Nolan NAHL 88.9% 90.6% St. Olaf D3 93.5% 2.31

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.