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Jared Moe Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 1999-07-22 Country: USA
2018 NHL Draft Round 6, Pick #184  ·  Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2018-19 USHL 31 14 8 90.7% 2.79 3 0.9980 85.9%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2022-23 Wisconsin D1 30 10 17 89.8% 3.31 4
2021-22 Wisconsin D1 31 8 16 91.7% 2.97 1
2020-21 Minnesota D1 3 2 0 85.2% 3.45 0
2019-20 Minnesota D1 16 7 5 91.5% 2.46 1
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Jacob Biron CCHL 90.9% 86.1% Army 92.3% 1.68
Evan Fear USHL 90.8% 85.7% Quinnipiac 77.4% 6.56
Ryan Bischel USHL 90.5% 85.5% Notre Dame 91.5% 2.52
Calvin Vachon USHL 89.6% 84.4% Alaska Fairbanks 89.7% 3.11
Matej Marinov USHL 91.7% 85.9% Quinnipiac 91.3% 1.85
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Tyler Fromolz NA3HL 92.0% 87.1% Marian D3 88.3% 3.85
Jarret Bovarnick EHL 88.3% 87.8% Suffolk D3 87.2% 4.52
Ryan Kenny USPHL-Premier 93.5% 89.3% Stevenson D3 89.6% 2.95
Andrew Doran NA3HL 93.4% 87.1% Utica D3 100.0%
Zach Dosan NA3HL 92.1% 87.8% Gustavus Adolphus D3 72.5% 6.60

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.