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Jarret Bovarnick Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 1999-06-21 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2019-20 EHL 15 8 5 90.7% 2.60 3 0.9400 85.3%
2018-19 EHL 21 5 12 88.3% 3.58 2 0.9400 83.7%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2022-23 Suffolk D3 8 0 5 88.3% 3.98
2021-22 Suffolk D3 6 1 2 87.2% 3.75
2020-21 Suffolk D3
2019-20 Suffolk D3 5 0 3 87.2% 4.52 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Mitch Gibson USHL 89.0% 83.9% Harvard 91.6% 2.61
Jack Stark USHL 90.0% 84.4% Yale 91.9% 2.22
Cameron Whitehead USHL 90.4% 84.7% Northeastern 91.7% 2.62
Simon Latkoczy USHL 88.7% 83.1% Nebraska Omaha 91.9% 2.32
Cameron Korpi USHL 89.2% 83.3% Michigan 90.4% 3.08
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Tyler Fromolz NA3HL 92.0% 87.1% Marian D3 88.3% 3.85
Andrew Doran NA3HL 93.4% 87.1% Utica D3 100.0%
Carson Ironside AJHL 87.8% 84.2% Albertus Magnus D3 89.3% 2.76
Brandon Shantz NA3HL 89.7% 82.6% Plymouth State D3 92.1% 3.00
Russ Decoste USPHL-Premier 93.1% 87.0% Westfield State D3 93.3% 2.38

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.