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Andrew Doran Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2002-05-28 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2021-22 EHL 0.9400
2021-22 NA3HL 13 10 2 93.4% 1.75 5 0.9400 85.3%
2021-22 NAHL 1 0 0 88.0% 2.77 0 0.9843 86.2%
2020-21 NA3HL 9 8 0 95.6% 0.98 1 0.9400 89.9%
2019-20 OJHL 1 1 0 90.0% 2.02 0 0.9700 87.3%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2024-25 Buffalo State D3 5 3 1 85.7% 4.11
2023-24 Buffalo State D3 9 3 4 90.9% 3.31
2022-23 Utica D3 2 0 0 100.0% 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Philip Svedebäck USHL 91.0% 85.2% Providence 90.9% 2.18
Jarrett Fiske CCHL 90.9% 85.1% American International
Max Väyrynen SM-Liiga-Jr 91.2% 85.5% Michigan Tech 90.3% 2.32
Cameron Whitehead USHL 90.4% 84.7% Northeastern 91.7% 2.62
Matej Marinov USHL 91.7% 85.9% Quinnipiac 91.3% 1.85
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Tyler Fromolz NA3HL 92.0% 87.1% Marian D3 88.3% 3.85
Russ Decoste USPHL-Premier 93.1% 87.0% Westfield State D3 93.3% 2.38
Jarret Bovarnick EHL 88.3% 87.8% Suffolk D3 87.2% 4.52
Jackson Fellner SJHL 89.9% 85.7% Alvernia D3 92.4% 2.68
Cameron Kuntar NCDC 89.3% 89.1% Chatham D3 92.4% 2.62

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.