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Evan Fear Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 1999-07-05 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
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Goals Against Average
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Base SV% —
Year Adj —
Source —
Confidence —

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
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Goals Against Average
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Base SV% —
Year Adj —
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Confidence —
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  ■ Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2018-19 — USHL 38 19 11 90.8% 2.88 3 0.9980 85.7%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2021-22 Northeastern D1 1 0 0 81.8% 4.51 —
2020-21 Quinnipiac D1 2 0 0 100.0% — 0
2019-20 Quinnipiac D1 4 0 1 77.4% 6.56 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Ryan Bischel USHL 90.5% 85.5% Notre Dame 91.5% 2.52
Nathan Krawchuk OHL 90.1% 84.8% RPI 90.9% 2.82
Jared Moe USHL 90.7% 85.9% Minnesota 91.5% 2.46
Max Väyrynen SM-Liiga-Jr 91.2% 85.5% Michigan Tech 90.3% 2.32
Matej Marinov USHL 91.7% 85.9% Quinnipiac 91.3% 1.85
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Tyler Fromolz NA3HL 92.0% 87.1% Marian D3 88.3% 3.85
Jarret Bovarnick EHL 88.3% 87.8% Suffolk D3 87.2% 4.52
Andrew Doran NA3HL 93.4% 87.1% Utica D3 100.0% —
Ryan Kenny USPHL-Premier 93.5% 89.3% Stevenson D3 89.6% 2.95
Russ Decoste USPHL-Premier 93.1% 87.0% Westfield State D3 93.3% 2.38

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.