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Josh Kirton Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2003-03-14 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2023-24 USPHL-Premier 4 4 0 93.4% 1.75 1 0.9400 83.1%
2023-24 MJHL 1 0 1 86.7% 4.11 0 0.9700 79.2%
2022-23 MJHL 25 10 10 88.3% 3.83 0 0.9700 84.0%
2021-22 USPHL-Elite 2 0 2 90.6% 2.50 0 0.9400 84.0%
2021-22 USPHL-Premier 9 5 1 90.4% 3.31 0 0.9400 86.6%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Rivier D3 13 88.0% 4.96 0
2024-25 Rivier D3 2 0 1 89.7% 3.54
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Ryan Manzella USHL 90.4% 83.1% Michigan Tech 89.5% 3.17
Ryan Snowden USHL 89.8% 82.7% Ohio State 90.5% 2.52
Bruno Bruveris USHL 89.7% 82.4% Miami 86.6% 4.15
Charles-Edward Gravel QMJHL 91.4% 84.0% Mercyhurst 90.7% 3.22
Luke Lush AJHL 91.9% 83.0% Sacred Heart 91.5% 2.11
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Cameron Hrdlicka SJHL 89.6% 83.0% Concordia D3 89.0% 3.97
Colby Entz SJHL 89.8% 82.9% St. Norbert D3 93.0% 1.88
Logan Gorbitz USPHL-Premier 91.8% 83.9% Neumann D3 84.4% 5.24
Paul Knapik USPHL-Premier 90.5% 82.3% Roger Williams D3
Hayden Williamson OJHL 85.8% 82.1% Arcadia D3 92.0% 3.36

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.