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Ayden Pierce Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2004-09-27 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2024-25 EHL 10 6 4 92.6% 2.79 0 0.9400 84.6%
2024-25 NCDC 24 10 12 91.1% 3.49 0 0.9400 81.6%
2023-24 EHL 18 11 5 93.3% 1.91 6 0.9400 91.6%
2023-24 CCHL 3 0 3 86.6% 5.33 0 0.9700 83.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Misericordia D3 9 93.2% 2.87 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Carson Dorfman NAHL 90.1% 84.7% RPI 100.0%
Rorke Applebee BCHL 90.2% 83.3% Lake Superior State 90.7% 3.00
Matthew DellaRusso NAHL 89.6% 84.3% Northeastern 66.7% 21.30
John Hawthorne BCHL 91.8% 83.9% Northern Michigan 88.2% 3.10
Ben Charette AJHL 92.5% 82.7% Harvard 90.9% 2.77
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Conor Sullivan NAHL 88.2% 85.2% Middlebury D3 92.1% 2.46
Connor Graham MJHL 89.9% 84.3% Alvernia D3 93.2% 2.19
Kyle Curtin OJHL 90.2% 84.4% Elmira D3 91.9% 2.66
Logan Bateman CCHL 91.8% 84.9% Elmira D3 91.5% 2.53
Matthew O'Donnell NAHL 88.6% 84.8% Aurora D3 91.0% 2.97

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.