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Tyler Roy Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 1998-09-17 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2018-19 EHL 13 5 6 91.3% 3.07 1 0.9400 82.0%
2018-19 USPHL-Premier 12 4 5 91.1% 3.17 0 0.9400 79.4%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2022-23 Manhattanville D3 11 2 6 89.4% 3.99
2021-22 Manhattanville D3 16 7 6 89.9% 3.45
2020-21 Neumann D3 1 0 1 91.2% 3.08 0
2019-20 Neumann D3 6 2 3 87.2% 3.68 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Malachi Klassen MJHL 91.7% 82.2% Holy Cross 3.04
Ben Charette AJHL 92.5% 82.7% Harvard 90.9% 2.77
Rorke Applebee BCHL 90.2% 83.3% Lake Superior State 90.7% 3.00
Connor Murphy CCHL 91.7% 81.3% Northeastern 68.8% 7.04
Liam Beerman USHL 91.2% 80.8% Lindenwood 90.3% 3.24
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Kannon Flageolle NOJHL 91.3% 81.7% Suffolk D3 89.7% 3.99
Tyler Sayger USPHL-Premier 90.8% 81.4% King's D3 90.5% 4.40
Alexander Timmons USPHL-Premier 90.5% 81.5% Framingham State D3 84.9% 5.20
Eric Daniel USPHL-Premier 92.0% 82.8% King's D3 86.9% 6.55
Tyler Sayger NCDC 89.4% 83.4% King's D3 90.5% 4.40

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.