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Mathis Rousseau Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2004-09-10 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2024-25 Moncton Wildcats QMJHL 45 20 20 90.5% 2.88 2 0.9938 80.1%
2023-24 Halifax Mooseheads QMJHL 44 31 8 92.5% 2.27 5 0.9938 88.2%
2022-23 QMJHL 49 36 7 91.2% 2.48 4 0.9938 93.2%
2021-22 QMJHL 32 17 12 90.1% 3.43 1 0.9938 97.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Maine D1 17 8 7 89.6% 2.59 2
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Ethan Dahlmeir USHL 90.0% 79.5% Miami 87.0% 4.04
Beckham Dempsey NCDC 90.4% 80.7% Colorado College
Patriks Berzins USHL 90.1% 79.5% Maine 90.0% 1.79
Connor Murphy CCHL 91.7% 81.3% Northeastern 68.8% 7.04
Liam Beerman USHL 91.2% 80.8% Lindenwood 90.3% 3.24
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Tyler Sayger USPHL-Premier 90.8% 81.4% King's D3 90.5% 4.40
Alexander Timmons USPHL-Premier 90.5% 81.5% Framingham State D3 84.9% 5.20
Kannon Flageolle NOJHL 91.3% 81.7% Suffolk D3 89.7% 3.99
Tyler Roy USPHL-Premier 91.1% 81.8% Neumann D3 87.2% 3.68
Dane Couture MJHL 86.5% 80.8% Concordia D3 87.3% 2.94

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.