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Cade Fairchild Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1989-01-15 Country: USA
2007 · Round 3, Pick #96  ·  St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
Signed Professionally
Dinamo Riga · KHL

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2005-06 — NTDP-U18 68 10 16 26 0.382 0.2842 0.2867 1.4269 1.4393
2006-07 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 47 4 22 26 0.553 0.4112 0.3993 2.0642 2.0042
2014-15 Metallurg Novokuznetsk KHL 53 4 10 14 0.264 0.6605 0.7098 3.6403 3.9119
2015-16 Metallurg Novokuznetsk KHL 56 4 18 22 0.393 0.9823 0.9894 5.4137 5.4526
2016-17 Rögle BK SHL 50 6 24 30 0.600 1.5000 1.3400 7.8292 6.9940
2017-18 Rögle BK SHL 20 1 3 4 0.200 0.5000 0.4307 2.6097 2.2479
2018-19 KalPa Liiga 41 3 10 13 0.317 0.7927 0.6505 2.7258 2.2368
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2010-11 Minnesota D1 WCHA-orig SR 35 6 18 24 0.686
2009-10 Minnesota D1 BigTen JR 39 4 17 21 0.538
2008-09 Minnesota D1 BigTen SO 35 9 24 33 0.943
2007-08 Minnesota D1 BigTen FR 40 2 13 15 0.375
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.33
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.38
2007-08 · Minnesota
+12.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 18 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
78%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#354
Defenseman overall
#77
Defenseman born in 1989

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Woodward
SUNY Oswego · 2002-03
1.226 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Lucas Signoretti
Buffalo State · 2024-25
1.120 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Cole Hepler
Lebanon Valley · 2015-16
1.280 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.