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Doug Rogers Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1988-01-28 Country: USA
2006 · Round 4, Pick #119  ·  New York Islanders New York Islanders
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2005-06 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 2 0 1 1 0.500 0.3716 0.3569 1.8657 1.7917
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2009-10 Harvard D1 ECAC SR 28 6 6 12 0.429
2008-09 Harvard D1 ECAC JR 31 8 13 21 0.677
2007-08 Harvard D1 ECAC SO 34 13 19 32 0.941
2006-07 Harvard D1 ECAC FR 33 7 17 24 0.727
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.31
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.73
2006-07 · Harvard
+138.1% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Evan Allen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ Michigan (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.38 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Drew Melanson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ RPI (0.56 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Motte
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Michigan (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Average
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Kelleher
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.43 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Average
NCAAe PPG
John Hayden
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.64 PPG
→ Yale (0.48 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Bloom
University of New England · 2010-11
1.654 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Gage Dill
Curry · 2018-19
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Paul Rodrigues
SUNY Oswego · 2007-08
0.893 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.