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Matt Grzelcyk Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1994-01-05 Country: USA
2012 · Round 3, Pick #85  ·  Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2010-11 — NTDP-U18 55 2 16 18 0.327 0.2433 0.2464 1.2213 1.2370
2011-12 — NTDP-U18 60 3 20 23 0.383 0.2849 0.2739 1.4302 1.3751
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2015-16 Boston University D1 HockeyEast — 27 10 13 23 0.852
2014-15 Boston University D1 HockeyEast — 41 10 28 38 0.927
2013-14 Boston University D1 HockeyEast — 19 3 8 11 0.579
2012-13 Boston University D1 HockeyEast — 38 3 20 23 0.605
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.25
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.61
2012-13 · Boston University
+143.9% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#4195
Defenseman overall
#786
Defenseman born in 1994

D1 Comparables

Will Butcher
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Denver (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Clark Kuster
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ St. Cloud State
0.29 No data
NCAAe PPG
Gustav Olofsson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.27 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Jack Stander
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Canisius (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Clint Lewis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.30 PPG
→ Cornell (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Joshua Burke
Amherst · 2018-19
0.692 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Mickey Gilchrist
Middlebury · 2002-03
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Blake Ulve
St. Norbert · 2020-21
0.552 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.