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John Ernsting Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1995-03-02 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2013-14 Chicago Steel USHL 60 12 29 41 0.683 0.4031 0.4000 2.0504 2.0345
2014-15 Chicago Steel USHL 60 10 26 36 0.600 0.3539 0.3338 1.8004 1.6980
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2018-19 Dartmouth D1 ECAC SR 7 0 0 0 0.000
2017-18 Dartmouth D1 ECAC JR 17 0 1 1 0.059
2016-17 Dartmouth D1 ECAC SO 30 4 4 8 0.267
2015-16 Dartmouth D1 ECAC FR 29 1 6 7 0.241
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.31
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.24
2015-16 · Dartmouth
-21.7% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#9930
Forward overall
#424
Forward born in 1995
#953
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Cameron Brown
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Maine (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Average
NCAAe PPG
Charlie O'Connor
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.64 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ben Foster
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.60 PPG
→ Princeton (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Siiro
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Princeton (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Average
NCAAe PPG
Eric Freschi
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.51 PPG
→ Cornell (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Connor Powell
Elmira · 2015-16
1.080 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Busby
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2002-03
0.903 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Michael Leone
Utica · 2007-08
1.462 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.