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Declan McDonnell Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-02-25 Country: USA
2020 NHL Draft Round 7, Pick #217  ·  Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Lincoln Stars USHL 7 1 0 1 0.143 0.0878 0.0960 0.4210 0.4605
2019-20 Kitchener Rangers OHL 63 21 21 42 0.667 0.3869 0.3869 1.7084 1.7084
2021-22 — OHL 63 28 34 62 0.984 0.5711 0.5324 2.5218 2.3509
2022-23 Barrie Colts OHL 63 13 30 43 0.682 0.3961 0.3521 1.7489 1.5548
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Niagara D1 AHA JR 37 12 14 26 0.703
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.36
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.70
2025-26 · Niagara
+93.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
57%
Age-Out / Club
0%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

David Goodwin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.67 PPG
→ Penn State (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Average
NCAAe PPG
Dylan Walchuk
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.86 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Average
NCAAe PPG
Carlos Amestoy
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Maine
0.39 No data
NCAAe PPG
Jordan Nelson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Will Suter
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Bentley (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Peter Magagna
SUNY Oswego · 2004-05
0.926 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Josh Hechter
Saint Anselm · 2002-03
1.375 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Alessio Luciani
Adrian · 2018-19
1.103 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.