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Declan McDonnell Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-02-25 Country: USA
2020 · Round 7, Pick #217  ·  Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
Signed Professionally
Saint Mary's Univ. · USports-M

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Lincoln Stars USHL 7 1 0 1 0.143 0.0843 0.0922 0.4292 0.4694
2019-20 Kitchener Rangers OHL 63 21 21 42 0.667 0.3857 0.3857 1.7131 1.7131
2021-22 — OHL 63 28 34 62 0.984 0.5693 0.5307 2.5286 2.3573
2022-23 Barrie Colts OHL 63 13 30 43 0.682 0.3948 0.3510 1.7537 1.5590
2023-24 Saint Mary's Univ. USports-M 26 12 16 28 1.077 0.5682 0.6051 3.1564 3.3616
2024-25 Saint Mary's Univ. USports-M 27 8 11 19 0.704 0.3713 0.3776 2.0625 2.0976
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Niagara D1 AHA JR 37 12 14 26 0.703
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.40
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.70
2025-26 · Niagara
+75.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

8%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
92%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Bloom
University of New England · 2013-14
1.654 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Shaquille Merasty
Adrian · 2011-12
1.357 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brett Gravelle
St. Thomas · 2015-16
0.923 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.