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Pierce Patterson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2002-02-26 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Deerfield Academy NE-Prep 27 3 7 10 0.370 0.1045 0.1045 0.1695 0.1695
2019-20 Deerfield Academy NE-Prep 25 2 9 11 0.440 0.1241 0.1241 0.2013 0.2013
2021-22 South Shore Kings NCDC 35 3 22 25 0.714 0.3983 0.3905 0.5776 0.5664
2022-23 Amarillo Wranglers NAHL 57 13 44 57 1.000 0.3962 0.3704 1.0499 0.9816
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Army D1 AHA GR 17 0 5 5 0.294
2024-25 Army D1 AHA SR 38 2 7 9 0.237
2023-24 Army D1 AHA JR 31 4 6 10 0.323
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.36
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.32
2023-24 · Army
-9.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

28%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
62%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2479
Defenseman overall
#636
Defenseman born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Paul LaDue
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Benjamin Gallacher
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.25 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Nolan Valleau
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Bowling Green
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Matt Van Voorhis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Denver (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Barrett Kaib
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Providence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Alain Joanette
St. Norbert · 2007-08
0.682 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Rick Varone
SUNY Oswego · 2003-04
0.652 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Connor Treacy
SUNY Potsdam · 2005-06
0.960 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.