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Pierce Patterson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2002-02-26 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Deerfield Academy NE-Prep 27 3 7 10 0.370 0.0734 0.0734 0.1688 0.1688
2019-20 Deerfield Academy NE-Prep 25 2 9 11 0.440 0.0872 0.0872 0.2005 0.2005
2021-22 South Shore Kings NCDC 35 3 22 25 0.714 0.2912 0.2855 0.5742 0.5630
2022-23 Amarillo Wranglers NAHL 57 13 44 57 1.000 0.3674 0.3435 1.0555 0.9868
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Army D1 AHA GR 17 0 5 5 0.294
2024-25 Army D1 AHA SR 38 2 7 9 0.237
2023-24 Army D1 AHA JR 31 4 6 10 0.323
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.30
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.32
2023-24 · Army
+6.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

38%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
35%
Age-Out / Club
25%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2390
Defenseman overall
#594
Defenseman born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Paul LaDue
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Benjamin Gallacher
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.45 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Nolan Valleau
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Bowling Green
0.22 No data
NCAAe PPG
Matt Van Voorhis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Denver (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Barrett Kaib
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Providence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Rick Varone
SUNY Oswego · 2003-04
0.652 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
David Coyle
Castleton · 2024-25
0.731 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Alain Joanette
St. Norbert · 2007-08
0.682 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.