IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Tyler Boucher Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2003-01-16 Country: USA
2021 NHL Draft Round 1, Pick #10  ·  Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 Avon Old Farms NE-Prep 26 8 11 19 0.731 0.2062 0.2062 0.3344 0.3344
2019-20 — NTDP-U18 43 9 17 26 0.605 0.4689 0.4689 2.2506 2.2506
2020-21 — NTDP-U18 16 12 5 17 1.062 0.8239 0.8239 3.9545 3.9545
2021-22 — OHL 24 7 7 14 0.583 0.3385 0.3306 1.4947 1.4599
2022-23 — OHL 21 10 7 17 0.809 0.4698 0.4386 2.0743 1.9364
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2021-22 Boston University D1 HockeyEast — 17 2 1 3 0.176
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.18
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.18
2021-22 · Boston University
0.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
45%
Age-Out / Club
32%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Gerald Mayhew
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.56 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Chad McDonald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.48 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Average
NCAAe PPG
Joseph-Matthew Manno
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.63 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Michael Vecchione
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Union (0.89 D1 FR PPG)
0.55 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Charlie O'Connor
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.64 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Nicholas Cyprian
Chatham · 2021-22
0.880 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Lee Stubbs
Manhattanville · 2000-01
1.115 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Dylan Clarke
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2006-07
1.267 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.