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Henry Nelson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-03-25 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Maple Grove USHS-MN 29 11 25 36 1.241 0.3342 0.3342 0.3015 0.3015
2020-21 Lincoln Stars USHL 6 1 1 2 0.333 0.2049 0.2049 0.9820 0.9820
2021-22 Lincoln Stars USHL 52 4 10 14 0.269 0.1655 0.1650 0.7931 0.7907
2022-23 Lincoln Stars USHL 44 5 11 16 0.364 0.2235 0.2112 1.0712 1.0122
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Notre Dame D1 BigTen JR 37 3 10 13 0.351
2024-25 Notre Dame D1 BigTen — 30 3 5 8 0.267
2023-24 Notre Dame D1 BigTen — 31 0 1 1 0.032
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.18
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.03
2023-24 · Notre Dame
-82.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

65%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#3611
Defenseman overall
#915
Defenseman born in 2003

D1 Comparables

Victor Björkung
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Vinny Muto
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ Niagara (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Max Everson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Harvard (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Johnny Hrabovsky
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Jared Kolquist
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Merrimack (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Bryan Yim
Adrian · 2013-14
1.138 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Travis Broughman
SUNY Oswego · 2016-17
0.852 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
John McLean
Salve Regina · 2015-16
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.