IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Nicholas Fascia Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2005-04-28 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Madison Capitols USHL 2 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2022-23 Madison Capitols USHL 31 1 3 4 0.129 0.0793 0.0832 0.3801 0.3990
2023-24 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 56 4 14 18 0.321 0.1976 0.1976 0.9469 0.9469
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Penn State D1 BigTen — 25 1 3 4 0.160
2024-25 Penn State D1 BigTen — 27 0 3 3 0.111
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.14
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.11
2024-25 · Penn State
-22.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

68%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
20%
Age-Out / Club
12%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#10750
Defenseman overall
#2274
Defenseman born in 2005
#3362
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Scott Moldenhauer
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.21 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.11 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Chris Leibinger
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Michigan Tech (0.13 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Tim Davison
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.14 No data
NCAAe PPG
Matt Benning
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Jeff Taylor
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Union (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jack Bartfield
Skidmore · 2022-23
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Marlon Gardner
Neumann · 2005-06
1.067 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Jack Wandmacher
Saint John's · 2019-20
0.560 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.