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Eli Sebastian Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-05-19 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Green Bay Gamblers USHL 62 17 31 48 0.774 0.4567 0.4579 2.3252 2.3312
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast JR 35 3 5 8 0.229
2024-25 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast SO 33 1 0 1 0.030
2023-24 Northeastern D1 HockeyEast FR 32 0 1 1 0.031
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.39
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.03
2023-24 · Northeastern
-92.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

92%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#6414
Forward overall
#210
Forward born in 2004
#413
in USHL

D1 Comparables

John Stevens
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.81 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.59 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Drew Smolcynski
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.69 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Average
NCAAe PPG
Sheldon Dries
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Brandon Hawkins
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.97 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.77 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Austin Ortega
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Joseph Fiorino
Southern New Hampshire · 2016-17
0.593 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Barrow
Wilkes · 2016-17
1.385 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Nick Ford
Elmira · 2014-15
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.