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Collin Patterson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-11-19 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 St. Georges NE-Prep 22 3 2 5 0.227 0.0458 0.0458 0.1040 0.1040
2020-21 Florida Eels USPHL-Premier 35 9 18 27 0.771 0.1038 0.1038 0.2626 0.2626
2021-22 Florida Eels USPHL-Premier 44 33 27 60 1.364 0.1835 0.1852 0.4642 0.4686
2022-23 Florida Eels USPHL-Premier 42 32 38 70 1.667 0.2243 0.2154 0.5673 0.5447
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Keene State D3 LittleEast — 12 1 4 5 0.417
2023-24 UMass Dartmouth D3 — FR 16 7 11 18 1.125
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.17
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
1.12
2023-24 · UMass Dartmouth
+546.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

65%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#22310
Forward overall
#897
Forward born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Ian Miller
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Doucet
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Air Force (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Wisconsin
0.23 No data
NCAAe PPG
Max Birkinbine
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Air Force (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Erik Cooper
St. Norbert · 2011-12
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Michael Casale
Salem State · 2013-14
0.680 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
James Nash
Southern New Hampshire · 2018-19
0.652 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.