Justin Paul Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2000-04-10 Country: Canada

Set Commitment

School

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Detected conference: () — projections will update automatically.

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Projecting as:

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory

Dashed = raw PPG · ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG · ■ Green = actual college PPG

Junior Seasons

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG	NCAAe-PPG	Age-Adj	D3e-PPG	Age-Adj
2016-17	King Rebellion	OJHL	53	16	29	45	0.849	0.2081	0.2305	0.5846	0.6475
2017-18	Georgetown Raiders	OJHL	53	14	16	30	0.566	0.1387	0.1469	0.3897	0.4128
2018-19	Georgetown Raiders	OJHL	55	20	29	49	0.891	0.2184	0.2207	0.6134	0.6198
2019-20	—	OJHL	47	18	21	39	0.830	0.2034	0.2034	0.5713	0.5713
2024-25	Lakehead Univ.	USports-M	28	10	7	17	0.607	0.3203	0.2957	1.7794	1.6426

■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor) ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor) COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Seasons (Historical)

Season	School	Div	Conference	Year	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG
2023-24	St. Lawrence	D1	ECAC	SR	37	7	12	19	0.513
2022-23	St. Lawrence	D1	ECAC	JR	16	4	1	5	0.312
2021-22	St. Lawrence	D1	ECAC	SO	37	8	10	18	0.486
2020-21	St. Lawrence	D1	ECAC	FR	14	3	2	5	0.357

Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year

Projected PPG

0.16

before college

→

Actual FR PPG

0.36

2020-21 · St. Lawrence

+118.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

NCAA D1

NCAA D2/D3

95%

Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#16921

Forward overall

#748

Forward born in 2000

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Bloom

University of New England · 2016-17

1.654 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

Shaquille Merasty

Adrian · 2015-16

1.357 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

Andrew Rozak

SUNY Oswego · 2000-01

1.100 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.