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Tobias Bjercke Larsen Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-08-27 Country: Norway
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Färjestad BK U20 SuperElit 11 0 1 1 0.091 0.0356 0.0377 0.1117 0.1183
2022-23 Färjestad BK U20 SHL-J20 46 2 13 15 0.326 0.1801 0.1821 0.4352 0.4400
2023-24 Färjestad BK U20 SuperElit 47 2 8 10 0.213 0.0834 0.0802 0.2614 0.2515
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Bentley D1 AHA 39 0 9 9 0.231
2024-25 American International D1 AHA 18 0 2 2 0.111
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.11
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.11
2024-25 · American International
-2.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
35%
Age-Out / Club
35%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#13994
Defenseman overall
#2790
Defenseman born in 2004

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Michigan Tech
0.05 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ UConn (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Princeton (0.29 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average D
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.07 PPG
→ Army (0.16 D1 FR PPG)
0.04 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

SUNY Oswego · 2018-19
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG
Wisconsin-Superior · 2014-15
0.240 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Oswego · 2011-12
0.500 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.