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Casey Wellman Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1987-10-18 Country: USA
Signed Professionally
Kärpät · Liiga

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2006-07 Cedar Rapids RoughRiders USHL 50 6 13 19 0.380 0.2242 0.2199 1.1196 1.0982
2007-08 Cedar Rapids RoughRiders USHL 59 22 23 45 0.763 0.4499 0.4183 2.2471 2.0891
2015-16 Spartak Moskva KHL 40 8 8 16 0.400 1.0000 0.9449 — —
2016-17 Frölunda HC SHL 45 14 19 33 0.733 1.8332 1.5234 — —
2017-18 HK Sochi KHL 47 10 21 31 0.660 1.6490 1.4187 — —
2020-21 Shanghai Dragons KHL 31 5 8 13 0.419 1.0485 1.0485 — —
2021-22 Kärpät Liiga 35 6 7 13 0.371 0.9285 0.5241 — —
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2009-10 UMass D1 — SO 36 23 22 45 1.250
2008-09 UMass D1 — FR 39 11 22 33 0.846
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.29
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.85
2008-09 · UMass
+191.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

5%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
95%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#1129
Forward overall
#38
Forward born in 1987

D2/3 Comparables

Brett Gravelle
St. Thomas · 2015-16
0.923 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Justin Fox
Salem State · 2006-07
1.429 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Barrow
Wilkes · 2017-18
1.385 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.